Steve Fetter: Publications and Other Papers

	Steve Fetter, "Scenarios and Consequences of a Contraction in Global Nuclear Energy Production" (to be published).
	Steve Fetter, "How Long Will the World's Uranium Supplies Last?" Scientific American: Ask the Experts, http://www.sciam.com//article.cfm?id=how-long-will-global-uranium-deposits-last.
	National Academy of Sciences Committee on the Internationalization of the Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Russian Academy of Sciences on the Internationalization of the Nuclear Fuel Cycle, Internationalization of the Nuclear Fuel Cycle: Goals, Strategies, and Challenges (Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2008), 150 pgs, http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=12477
	National Research Council, Committee on Conventional Prompt Global Strike Capability, U.S. Conventional Prompt Global Strike Capability: Issues for 2008 and Beyond (Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2008), 240 pgs, http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=12061. See also Conventional Prompt Global Strike Capability: Letter Report (2007), 14 pgs, http://books.nap.edu/openbook.php?record_id=11951
	Joint Working Group of the American Physical Society and the American Association for the Advancement of Science, Nuclear Forensis: Role, State of the Art, Program Needs (Washington, DC: American Association for the Advancement of Science, 2007), 64 pgs, http://cstsp.aaas.org/files/Complete.pdf
	Bruce G. Blair, Thomas B. Cochran, Jonathan Dean, Steve Fetter, Richard L. Garwin, Kurt Gottfried, Lisbeth Gronlund, Henry Kelly, Hans M. Kristensen, Robert S. Norris, Ivan Oelrich, Christopher Paine, Frank N. von Hippel, David Wright, and Stephen Young, Toward True Security: Ten Steps the Next President Should Take to Transform U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy (Washington, DC: Federation of American Scientists, Natural Resources Defense Council, Union of Concerned Scientists, February 2008), 31 pgs, http://www.ucsusa.org/global_security/nuclear_weapons/truesecurity.html
	Nuclear Weapons Complex Assessment Committee, The United States Nuclear Weapons Program: The Role of the Reliable Replacement Warhead (Washington, DC: American Association for the Advancement of Science, 2007), 34 pgs, http://cstsp.aaas.org/files/AAAS%20RRW%20Report.pdf
	Steve Fetter and Ben Rusek, "Monitoring Nuclear Weapons and Nuclear Explosive Materials," Physics and Society, Vol. 35, No. 3 (July 2006), pp. 14-17, http://units.aps.org/units/fps/newsletters/2006/july/article5.cfm
	Steve Fetter and Frank N. von Hippel, "Is U.S. Reprocessing Worth the Risk?" Arms Control Today, Vol. 35, No. 7 (September 2005), http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2005_09/Fetter-VonHippel.asp
	Charles L. Glaser and Steve Fetter, “Counterforce Revisited: Assessing the Nuclear Posture Review’s New Missions,” International Security, Vol. 30, No. 2 (Fall 2005), pp. 84-126.
	Matthew Bunn, Steve Fetter, John P. Holdren and Bob van der Zwaan, "The Economics of Reprocessing vs. Direct Disposal of Spent Nuclear Fuel," Nuclear Technology, Vol. 150, No. 3 (June 2005).
	American Physical Society, Panel on Public Affairs, Nuclear Energy Study Group, Nuclear Energy and Proliferation Resistance: Securing Benefits, Limiting Risks (May 2005), http://www.aps.org/policy/reports/popa-reports/upload/Energy-2007-Report-InterimStorage.pdf
	Steve Fetter and Tim Gulden, "Decarbonizing the Global Energy System: Implications for Energy Technology and Security" (unpublished manuscript, March 2005).
	National Academy of Sciences, Effects of Nuclear Earth-Penetrator and Other Weapons (Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 2005), http://books.nap.edu/catalog/11282.html.
	National Academy of Sciences, Committee on International Security and Arms Control, Monitoring Nuclear Weapons and Nuclear Explosive Materials: An Assessment of Methods and Capabilities (Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 2005); http://www.nap.edu/books/0309095972/html.
	Ivan Oelrich and Steve Fetter, "Not So Fast: Comments on 'Estimates of Performance and Cost for Boost Phase Intercept' presented to the Marshall Institute’s Washington Roundtable on Science and Public Policy by Greg Canavan on 24 September 2004," unpublished (January 2005); http://www.fas.org/resource/01312005123203.pdf.
	Steve Fetter and Charles L. Glaser, "Critiquing the NPR's New Nuclear Missions," chapter 3 in James J. Wirtz and Jeffrey A. Larsen, eds., *Nuclear Transformation: The New U.S. Nuclear Doctrine* (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2005).
	Steve Fetter and Frank von Hippel, "Does the U.S. Need a New Plutonium-Pit Facility?" *Arms Control Today*, Vol. 34, No. 4 (May 2004), pp. 10-14; http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2004_05/FettervonHippel.asp.
	Steve Fetter, "Space Solar Power: An Idea Whose Time Will Never Come?" Physics and Society, Vol. 33, No. 1 (January 2004); http://units.aps.org/units/fps/newsletters/2004/january/commentary.cfm#2
	Matthew Bunn, Steve Fetter, John P. Holdren and Bob van der Zwaan, The Economics of Reprocessing vs. Direct Disposal of Spent Nuclear Fuel (Cambridge, MA: Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard University, December 2003), 127 pgs; http://bcsia.ksg.harvard.edu/publication.cfm?program=STPP&ctype=book&item_id=351&gma=27,27.
	Excel spreadsheets used to calculate the breakeven uranium price and the cost of electricity are available here (see appendix A for details): BUP-LWR, BUP-FBR, COE-LWR, COE-FBR
	Steve Fetter, "U.S. Nuclear Policy: One Step Forward, Two Steps Back," Physics and Society, Vol. 32, No. 3 (July 2003), pp. 5-7; http://www.aps.org/units/fps/newsletters/2003/july/articles.html#us.
	Steve Fetter, "Stockpile Declarations," chapter 7 in Nicholas Zarimpas, ed., Transparency in Nuclear Warheads and Materials: The Political and Technical Dimensions (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2003); http://editors.sipri.se/pubs/zarimpas.html
	Charles L. Glaser and Steve Fetter, “National Missile Defense and the Future of U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy,” International Security, Vol. 26, No. 1 (Summer 2001), pp. 40-92; Charles L. Glaser and Steve Fetter, “Correspondence: Limited National and Allied Missile Defense,” International Security, Vol. 26, No. 4 (Spring 2002), pp. 190-201 (response to James M. Lindsay and Michael E. O'Hanlon).
	Bruce G. Blair, Thomas B. Cochran, Tom Z. Collina, Jonathan Dean, Steve Fetter, Richard L. Garwin, Kurt Gottfried, Lisbeth Gronlund, Henry Kelly, Matthew G. McKinzie, Robert S. Norris, Adam Segal, Robert Sherman, Frank N. von Hippel, David Wright, and Stephen Young, Toward True Security: A U.S. Nuclear Posture for the Next Decade (Washington, DC: Federation of American Scientists, Natural Resources Defense Council, Union of Concerned Scientists, June 2001), 33 pgs; http://www.ucsusa.org.
	Steve Fetter and Frank N. von Hippel, "DU Not a High Priority for Antinuclear Movement," *Medicine and Global Survival*, Vol. 7, No. 1 (April 2001), pp. 46-47; http://www.ippnw.org/MGS/V7N1IPPNWDU.html.
	Steve Fetter, "Decarbonizing the Global Energy System" (unpublished, 2000); invited update of my Stanford report (see below) by Annual Reviews of Energy and Environment, then rejected
	Steve Fetter, "Energy 2050," *Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists* (July/August 2000), pp. 28-38; http://www.bullatomsci.org/issues/2000/ja00/ja00fetter.html.
	William C. Sailor, David Bodansky, Chaim Braun, Steve Fetter, and Bob van der Zwaan, “A Nuclear Solution to Climate Change?” *Science*, Vol. 288 (19 May 2000), pp. 1177-1178; http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/288/5469/1177.
	Steve Fetter and Jack Mendelsohn, "Alternatives to NMD," in *White Paper on National Missile Defense* (Washington, DC: Lawyers Alliance for World Security, Spring 2000).
	Andrew M. Sessler, John M. Cornwall, Bob Dietz, Steve Fetter, Sherman Frankel, Richard L. Garwin, Kurt Gottfried, Lisbeth Gronlund, George N. Lewis, Theodore A. Postol, David C. Wright, *Countermeasures: A Technical Evaluation of the Operational Effectiveness of the Planned US National Missile Defense System* (Cambridge, MA: Union of Concerned Scientists and MIT Security Studies Program, April 2000); http://www.ucsusa.org. See also Bob Dietz, Steve Fetter, Richard L. Garwin, Kurt Gottfried, Lisbeth Gronlund, George N. Lewis, Theodore A. Postol, Andrew M. Sessler, and David C. Wright, Response to Uzi Rubin’s “Comments on the UCS Report on Countermeasures."
	Steve Fetter and Frank von Hippel, "The Hazard Posed by Depleted-uranium Munitions," *Science and Global Security*, Vol. 8, No. 2 (1999); http://www.princeton.edu/~globsec/publications/pdf/vonhippe.pdf.
	Steve Fetter and Frank von Hippel, "After the Dust Settles," *Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists*, Vol. 55, No. 6 (November/December 1999); http://www.bullatomsci.org/issues/1999/nd99/nd99vonhippel.html.
	Steve Fetter, "The Future of Nuclear Arms Control," Physics and Society, Vol. 28, No. 4 (October 1999), p. 8–10; http://www.aps.org/units/fps/newsletters/1999/october/aoct99.html#a4; see also http://www.apscenttalks.org/pres_masterpage.cfm?nameID=166.
	Steve Fetter, Climate Change and the Transformation of World Energy Supply (Stanford: Center for International Security and Cooperation, 1999), 95 pgs; http://iis-db.stanford.edu/pubs/10228/fetter.pdf.
	Steve Fetter, "A Comprehensive Transparency Regime for Warheads and Fissile Materials," Arms Control Today, Vol. 29, No. 1 (January/February 1999), pp. 3-7; http://www.armscontrol.org/act/1999_01-02/sfjf99.asp.
	Steve Fetter, "Limiting the Role of Nuclear Weapons," in Harold Feiveson, ed., The Nuclear Turning Point: A Blueprint for Deep Cuts and De-alerting of Nuclear Weapons (Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution, 1999), pp. 29–45; http://www.brook.edu/press/books/nucturn.htm.
	Steve Fetter, "Nuclear Strategy and Targeting Doctrine," in Harold Feiveson, ed., The Nuclear Turning Point: A Blueprint for Deep Cuts and De-alerting of Nuclear Weapons (Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution, 1999), pp. 47-59.
	Harold Feiveson and Steve Fetter, "Verifying Deep Reductions in Nuclear Forces," in Harold Feiveson, ed., The Nuclear Turning Point: A Blueprint for Deep Cuts and De-alerting of Nuclear Weapons (Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution, 1999), pp. 215-241.
	Steve Fetter, “Preventing Climate Change: The Role of Nuclear Energy,” in C.R. Hill, B. van der Zwaan, G. Ripka, and A.L. Mechelynck, eds., Nuclear Energy: Promise or Peril? (London: World Scientific Publishing Co., 1999); http://www.worldscientific.com/books/environsci/4173.html.
	Steve Fetter, "Future Directions in Nuclear Arms Control and Verification," INESAP Bulletin, No. 15 (April 1998), pp. 50-54; delivered at the 62^nd meeting of the German Physical Society, Regensburg, Germany, 26 March 1998; http://www.inesap.org/bulletin15/bul15art22.htm.
	Steve Fetter, "Climate Change and the Future of Nuclear Energy," in Carl Walter, ed., The Enduring Nuclear Fuel Cycle CONF-97115 (Livermore, CA: Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, 1998), pp. 32-46; http://www.llnl.gov/tid/lof/documents/pdf/233752.pdf. (See revised version above.)
	Steve Fetter, "Climate Change and the Transformation of World Energy Supply," SSRC–MacArthur Foundation Program on International Peace and Security Newsletter, Vol. 10 (February 1998), pp. 11–12.
	National Academy of Sciences, Committee on International Security and Arms Control, The Future of U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy (Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 1997); http://www.nap.edu/readingroom/books/fun.
	Steve Fetter, "Verifying Nuclear Disarmament," in Frank Blackaby and Joseph Rotblat, ed., Nuclear Weapons: The Road to Zero (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1998), pp. 71-100.
	Steve Fetter, "Verifying Nuclear Disarmament," (Washington, DC: Henry L. Stimson Center, Occasional Paper No. 29, October 1996), 42 pgs. An abridged version appeared in INESAP Bulletin, No. 13 (July 1997), pp. 41-43; http://www.inesap.org/bulletin13/bulletin13.htm.
	Steve Fetter, "Nuclear Deterrence and the 1990 Indo-Pakistani Crisis," International Security, Vol. 21, No. 1 (Summer 1996).
	Steve Fetter, "Overview of the Desirability and Feasibility of Ballistic Missile Defenses," chapter one in Joseph Cirincione and Frank von Hippel, eds., The Last 15 Minutes: Ballistic Missile Defense in Perspective (Washington, DC: Coalition to Reduce Nuclear Dangers, 1996), pp. 6–15.
	Steve Fetter and Frank von Hippel, "A Step-by-step Approach to a Global Fissile Materials Cutoff," Arms Control Today, Vol. 25, No. 8 (October 1995), pp. 3-8.
	Steve Fetter, "Strategic Defenses," in Michael J. Mazarr and Alexander T. Lennon, Toward a Nuclear Peace (New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1994), pp. 69–86.
	George N. Lewis, Steve Fetter, and Lisbeth Gronlund, *Casualties and Damage from Scud Attacks in the 1991 Gulf War* (Cambridge, MA: Defense and Arms Control Studies Program, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, March 1993), 51 pgs. See also 1994 update in pdf and word format.
	Steve Fetter, George N. Lewis, and Lisbeth Gronlund, "Why Were Scud Casualties So Low?" Nature (28 January 1993), pp. 293–296.
	Steve Fetter, "Nuclear Archaeology: Verifying Declarations of Fissile-material Production," Science and Global Security, Vol. 3, Nos. 3–4 (1993), pp. 237–261; http://www.princeton.edu/%7Eglobsec/publications/pdf/3_3-4Fetter.pdf.
	Steve Fetter, "Reasons for Nuclear Testing," in Towards a Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (Oslo: Royal Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, 1992), pp. 8–25.
	Steve Fetter and Thomas B. Cochran, “Verifying the Authenticity of Nuclear Warheads without Revealing Sensitive Design Information,” presented at the Third International Workshop on Verified Storage and Destruction of Nuclear Warheads, Moscow, 16–20 Dec. 1991.
	Steve Fetter, "Internal Dose Conversion Factors for 19 Target Organs and 9 Irradiation Times and External Dose-Rate Conversion Factors for 21 Target Organs for 144 Radionuclides" EGG-FSP-9875 (Idaho Falls: EG&G, September 1991), 256 pgs.
	Steve Fetter, "Internal Dose Conversion Factors for 19 Target Organs and 9 Irradiation Times and External Dose-Rate Conversion Factors for 21 Target Organs for 259 Radionuclides Produced in Potential Fusion Reactor Materials," EGG-FSP-8036 (Idaho Falls: EG&G, 1988), 406 pgs.
	Appendix A: DCFs for Inhalation Part I and Part II (updated) Appendix B: DCFs for Ingestion Part I and Part II (updated) Appendix C: DRCFs for Exposure to Contaminated Air Part I and Part II Appendix D: DRCFs for Exposure to a Contaminated Surface Part I and Part II Appendix E: DRCFs for Exposure to Contaminated Soil Part I and Part II Appendix F: The IDCF Computer Program (updated) Appendix G: The EDRCF Computer Program (updated) Appendix H: Metabolic Data Appendix I: Specific Absorbed Fractions of Photon Energy Appendix J: Radionuclide Decay Data (updated)
	See programs for the source code and data files used to produce these results.
	Steve Fetter, "Ballistic Missiles and Weapons of Mass Destruction: What Is the Threat? What Should be Done?" International Security, Vol. 16, No. 1 (Summer 1991), pp. 5-42. See programs for the source code and data files used to produce these results.
	Steve Fetter, A Ballistic Missile Primer (unpublished manuscript, 1990; comments welcome).
	Steve Fetter and Stanislav Rodionov, "Verifying START," in Francesco Calogero, Marvin L. Goldberger, and Sergei P. Kapitza, eds., Verification: Monitoring Disarmament (Boulder: Westview Press, 1991), pp. 95–121.
	Steve Fetter, E.T. Cheng, and F.M. Mann, "Long-term Radioactive Waste from Fusion Reactors: Part II," Fusion Engineering and Design, Vol. 13 (1990), pp. 239–246; Steve Fetter, E.T. Cheng, and F.M. Mann, "Long-term Waste from Fusion Reactors," Fusion Engineering and Design, Vol. 2, No. 6 (April 1988), pp. 1–8.
	Steve Fetter and Frank von Hippel, "The Hazard from Plutonium Dispersal by Nuclear-warhead Accidents," Science and Global Security, Vol. 2, No. 1 (1990), pp. 21–41; http://www.princeton.edu/~globsec/publications/pdf/2_1Fetter.pdf.
	Steve Fetter and Thomas Garwin, "Tags," in Richard Kokoski and Sergey Koulik, eds., Verification of Conventional Arms Control in Europe: Technological Constraints and Opportunities (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1990), pp. 139–154.
	Steve Fetter, "Israeli Ballistic Missile Capabilities," Physics and Society, Vol. 19, No. 3 (July 1990), pp. 3–4. (See "Ballistic Missile Primer" (unpublished) for an updated analysis.)
	Steve Fetter, Thomas B. Cochran, Lee Grodzins, Harvey Lynch, and Martin S. Zucker, "Gamma-ray Measurements of a Soviet Cruise-Missile Warhead," Science, Vol. 248 (18 May 1990), pp. 828-834.
	Steve Fetter, Valery A. Frolov, Marvin Miller, Robert Mozely, Oleg F. Prilutskii, Stanislav N. Rodionov, and Roald Z. Sagdeev, "Detecting Nuclear Warheads," Science and Global Security, Vol. 1, No. 3–4 (1990), pp. 225–302; http://www.princeton.edu/~globsec/publications/pdf/1_3-4FetterB.pdf.
		Steve Fetter, Valery A. Frolov, Oleg F. Prilutskii, and Roald Z. Sagdeev, "Appendix A: Fissile Materials and Weapon Design," Science and Global Security, Vol. 1, No. 3–4 (1990), pp. 255–263; http://www.princeton.edu/~globsec/publications/pdf/1_3-4FetterA.pdf.
		Steve Fetter and Robert Mozely, "Appendix B: Emission and Absorption of Radiation," Science and Global Security, Vol. 1, No. 3–4 (1990), pp. 265–285; http://www.princeton.edu/~globsec/publications/pdf/1_3-4Fetter.pdf.
		Steve Fetter and Frank von Hippel, "Measurement of Radiation from a Soviet Warhead," Science and Global Security, Vol. 1, No. 3–4 (1990), pp. 323–327; http://www.princeton.edu/%7Eglobsec/publications/pdf/1_3-4FetterC.pdf.
	Steve Fetter, "The Effects of Nuclear Detonations and Nuclear War," in Graham T. Allison Jr., Robert D. Blackwill, Albert Carnesale, Joseph S. Nye Jr., and Robert P. Beschel Jr., eds., A Primer for the Nuclear Age, Occasional Paper No. 6 (Cambridge, MA: Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard University, 1990), pp. 23–30.
	Steve Fetter and Thomas Garwin, "Using Tags to Monitor Numerical Limits in Arms Control Agreements," in Barry M. Blechman, ed., Technology and the Limitation of International Conflict (Washington, DC: The Johns Hopkins Foreign Policy Institute, 1989), pp. 33–54.
	Steve Fetter, Toward a Comprehensive Test Ban (Cambridge, MA: Ballinger Publishing Company, 1988), 206 pgs.
	Steve Fetter, "Protecting Our Military Space Systems," in Edmund S. Muskie, ed., The U.S. in Space: Issues and Policy Choices for a New Era, (Washington, DC: Center for National Policy Press, 1988), pp. 1–25.
	Steve Fetter, "Stockpile Confidence Under a Nuclear Test Ban," International Security, Vol. 12, No. 3 (Winter 1987/88), pp. 132–167; Steve Fetter, "An Exchange on Stockpile Confidence," International Security, Vol. 13, No. 1 (Summer 1988), pp. 210–215.
	Steve Fetter, "The Radiological Hazards of Magnetic Fusion Reactors," Fusion Technology, Vol. 11, No. 2 (March 1987), pp. 400–415.
	John P. Holdren and Steve Fetter, "Contribution of Activation Products to Fusion Accident Risk: Part II. Effects of Alternative Materials and Designs," Nuclear Technology/ Fusion, Vol. 4, No. 3 (November 1983), pp. 599–619.
	Steve Fetter, The Vulnerability of Nuclear Reactors to Attack by Nuclear Weapons (Cambridge, MA: MIT Program in Science and Technology for International Security Report No. 7, August 1982), 161 pgs.
	Steve Fetter and Kosta Tsipis, "Catastrophic Releases of Radioactivity," Scientific American, Vol. 244, No. 4 (April 1981), pp. 41–47.